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I'm feeling spoilt for choice this week. There are so many interesting new
ads to pick. Let's start with the new Fallon London ad for Sony, Foam City. I highlighted this last week as a probable new
masterpiece, but I'm sorry to say it's actually proved to be a disappointment,
coming hot on the heels of the equally underwhelming Trucks for Cadbury.
Spectacular, sure, but it falls far short of Balls or Paint or even the
last campaign for Sony cameras (featured in this spot last December - see
it here). Like Trucks, this feels to me like a big idea that wasn't
fully thought through. Maybe there just wasn't enough time before the next
client meeting. That's the problem with being creative top dog, I guess. Hmm.
Fallon London's presiding genius Juan Cabral and the rest of his team
may need a little downtime to recharge their creative
batteries
No such troubles at DDB London by the look of it. This new
spot for the VW Golf is great. Lovely concept, terrific editing and music
(by ex-Orbital muso Phil Hartnoll).
Apologies to our international subscribers, but this next
ad is also created here in London. Leo Burnett's local office is the
agency behind this initiative for the government's Learning & Skills
Department. This is an ad that is somehow both very simple and very
complicated at the same time. Also very memorable and effective.
And finally, for our humorous pay-off, I can't decide
between another ad from JWT New York for Huggies, or a beer ad from
Argentina. What the hell, let's go for the Spanish language spot. Huggies
next week if there's space. This ad
doesn't have subtitles but I'm sure you'll get the idea anyway. Some guys
hanging out with a few Schneider beers discover that something strange
happens whenever any of them says the word "esplendio" - or
"splendid" in English. The agency is La Comunidad of
Buenos Aires. What is it with Argentinean ads at the moment? There must be
something special in the water there.
In the news this past
week: Advertisers
As had been expected, US airlines Delta and
Northwest confirmed plans to merge to create the world's biggest carrier,
with annual sales of more than $35bn, a fleet of almost 800 planes and
around 75,000 employees. Effectively, Delta will acquire Northwest for
around $3.6bn. The combined company will retain the Delta name
and will keep its HQ in Delta’s hometown of Atlanta. The fit is quite neat. There is
comparatively little overlap between their respective route maps and they have
complementary strengths and weaknesses: Delta is
strongest in the US Southeast and across the Atlantic; Northwest's core
market is the upper Midwest and it also has a strong presence in the
Pacific region.
However, the merger is expected to face a rough ride from
regulators and especially from labour unions at Northwest. Terms were more or less agreed several weeks ago but were delayed as a
result of opposition from Northwest's pilots, who fear a disparity in pay
and seniority compared to their counterparts at Delta. In the end
however, Northwest's board took the decision to press ahead, even
without the agreement of their pilots, because of the continuing rise in
oil prices and slowing travel expenditure by businesses and consumers. The
Northwest pilots reaffirmed their determination to fight the merger,
but Delta CEO Richard Anderson, who will run the conjoined business, says he is
sure they can be convinced of the deal's value.
Assuming it goes through
in one form or another - and completion is not expected before the end of
2008 or even early 2009 - the deal is likely to spark off further
consolidation within the US industry. United has already made several
approaches to Continental, so far rebuffed. American is also considered to
be a potential suitor for Continental or even a rival bidder for Northwest.
However, many observers are sceptical that such consolidation will solve
the fundamental flaws affecting the five major US airlines: too many
unprofitable routes, outdated aircraft, and abysmal customer service,
especially compared to smaller regional carriers. John Gapper, writing in
the FT, commented: "It does not help to be big if you do not make
money. In fact, the bigger you are, the faster you can lose it. The
imperative for US airlines is to improve margins in order to be able to
invest in aircraft and raise service standards. If they do not, customers
will keep moving to domestic low-cost carriers."
Video rental giant Blockbuster unveiled a $1bn bid
to acquire struggling electronics chain Circuit City. Both businesses are
facing off significant challenges. Blockbuster has competition
from online rental firms such as Netflix, but has begun to
show progress since last year. Circuit City's troubles are more serious.
Twice Blockbuster's size by revenues, it has been fighting for years to gain traction
against main rival Best Buy, as well as discounters such as
Wal-Mart. So far it has had little success, and its share price has fallen
by more than 80% in the last year alone. But this deal is no sure thing.
Apparently Blockbuster and Circuit City have been holding private talks for several months but those discussions stalled because the
electronics chain has so far refused to open its books to its smaller
suitor. Blockbuster hopes this public offer will encourage investors to
put pressure on Circuit City. Yet most institutional investors also
reacted badly to the merger. One analyst, from Wedbush Morgan Securities,
issued a research note which said that Blockbuster's bid "borders on
being reckless" given that Circuit City "appears to
be in the middle of a death spiral". However, Blockbuster's
bid did have the support of activist investors Carl Icahn and Mark
Wattles, who are among the biggest individual shareholders in Blockbuster
and Circuit City respectively.
Interbrand published a ranking of Europe's 25 most valuable retail brands. It
placed H&M as the region's single most valuable brand
by quite some margin, estimating a value of E10.3bn, almost E4bn ahead of
second-placed Carrefour, valued at E6.6bn. Rounding out the Top Ten were
Ikea, Tesco, Marks & Spencer, Zara, Aldi,
Boots, El Corte Ingles and
Auchan. Access the full report here.
In the US, retailers reported the worst March sales
figures since 1995, according to the trade group International Council of
Shopping Centers. A variety of factors contributed, including the slowing
economy, continuing rises in gas prices and the earliest, coldest Easter holiday in
95 years. Specialty clothing retailers and department stores were hardest
hit, with many suffering double-digit falls in same-store sales
compared to last year. Gap's March same-store sales plunged by 18%, and
rivals Abercrombie & Fitch and American Eagle were also down, by 12%
and 10% respectively. Among the department stores, Kohl's was down almost
16% and JC Penney by more than 12%. Even Target felt the pinch, reporting a
4% drop. Virtually the only large chains not reporting a drop were Wal-Mart, which reported a 0.7% increase, lower than it had expected, and
wholesale warehouse clubs Costco and BJ's, who broke the mould with 5% and
6% increases respectively. Some smaller chains also did well, with teen
clothing stores Aeropostale and Buckle both claiming double-digit
increases.
British retail sales also fell in March, their first
decline in more than two years. The British Retail Consortium said that
same-store retail sales in March were down 1.6% from the same month last
year, the largest drop since July 2005. (However total sales, including
new store openings, showed a modest increase of 1.1%). Auto sales were also
bleak. The European Automobile Manufacturers’ Association said that new
passenger car registrations fell by nearly 10% across the region in March,
after an increase in the previous two months. For the whole quarter, sales
were down by just under 2%. Overall Toyota was hardest hit, with
registrations down by 17% for the quarter, followed by Hyundai, down
15%.
The 1Q
reporting season kicked off with a string of financial results that were lacklustre
or worse. Most US investment banks are having to make further significant writedowns against their
subprime bond investments - Merrill Lynch has now written off more than $30bn
since October and posted three consecutive quarterly losses, the worst
run in its entire 94-year history. Wachovia, the #4 US bank
by assets, also reported an unexpected 1Q loss as a result of a huge
provision for credit losses, mostly relating to Golden West Financial,
the mortgage lender it acquired in 2006. Even General Electric, widely regarded as
the bellwether of the economy showed itself not to be immune, with
earnings which fell below last year because of a fall in profits at its
financial units, as well as in its industrial
and healthcare businesses. Philips, which is GE's main competitor in the
healthcare segment, reported an even sharper fall in profitability, but
this was generated not by the healthcare division - which performed
strongly - but poor performance by its consumer electronics business,
especially in the US.
Yet it wasn't all bad news by any means. Johnson &
Johnson announced a 40% uplift in 1Q earnings, IBM was up 26%,
Ebay
improved by 22% and Danone
reported a 12% increase. LG delivered record profits on soaring demand for
its handsets and flat-panel TVs (compared to a loss for the same period
last year). Even Coca-Cola delivered one of its best performances in
recent years with a 19% earnings boost. UK supermarket giant Tesco also reported
yet another year of stunning performance, with sales for the 12 months to
February breaking the £50bn mark
at £51.8bn, and underlying profit up almost 12% to £2.85bn. Trading
profits in the group's international arm rose 24% to £700m on sales up 25%
to almost £14bn.
Chrysler and Nissan announced a significant expansion of
the manufacturing alliance they tentatively agreed at the beginning of the
year. In January, Nissan agreed to produce a vehicle based on its own
Versa sedan for Chrysler to sell in some Latin American markets from 2009
onwards. Now the two companies have ramped up this cooperation with a
broader reciprocal arrangement. Chrysler will draw up the spec for a new
small car to be built by Nissan in Japan, and sold by the American
company in the US and Europe from 2010. In return, Chrysler will make
space in its Mexican factory to produce a new pickup for Nissan, for
delivery in 2011. Although the arrangement is being presented by both
companies as purely a manufacturing agreement for now, it brings Chrysler
another step closer to becoming a third partner in Renault and Nissan's
existing worldwide alliance.
There were also rumours of impending consolidation in the telecoms sector.
France Telecom is said to be in the early stages of negotiating a bid for
TeliaSonera, the national operator for Sweden and Finland. Also several
British companies are in discussions over the possible break-up of
European broadband supplier Tiscali. Vodafone, BSkyB and
Carphone
Warehouse are among the interested partiers.
In
the news this past week: Agencies
Media network MindShare announced a complete overhaul of its global
structure. It will integrate all its existing operations to form a single
unit which offers a full range of marketing services, including creative.
The architects of the new design are chief strategy officer Nick Emery and
head of communications planning Marco Rimini. Under the new plan, they
claim, "we will move to more integrated client teams with less focus
on departments and more focus on teams sitting and working together... Our
new focus will be on building client teams with positions and skills that
go beyond the current media planning group structure."
Currently, MindShare's main offices have around 12
different service departments. All these will be disbanded and instead
absorbed into one of four new units. Client Leadership will offer the main
point of contact with clients, lead strategy and be responsible for
overall profitability and performance. Business Planning will
combine existing strategic and analytical units to "to focus in on
solving real business issues for the marketing director and CEO; business
planning rather than simply communications plan development".
Invention will develop media-neutral creative plans, absorbing existing sponsorship, branded entertainment and content
units. Finally, The Exchange will be responsible for all digital and non-digital
trading. The group's current team of media planners will be split up
between departments, with some transferring to Business Planning to focus
on strategy, some to The Exchange to handle tactical planning; and others
to Client Leadership.
It's an interesting idea, which throws out most existing
ideas of how a media network is structured. How well it works in practise
remains to be seen. Coincidentally, this week has also seen renewed attention
in the trade media to developments at DaVinci, the global agency being created
from scratch at WPP to serve the needs of Dell. The latest chatter
has come in response to an article in Advertising Age last week, which
raised concerns over progress at DaVinci. Although WPP initially set a
deadline of March 1st for launch of the new agency, more than six weeks
later it still has no appointed CEO, no confirmed name (DaVinci is just
the working title), and only around 500 of its anticipated 1,000
employees.
M&C Saatchi's Walker Media subsidiary was named as the new UK
partner within Columbus Media International, the network which unites
leading independent media agencies in 19 markets. Walker replaced previous
member BLM, who dropped out earlier this year following acquisition
by Havas. Other members of Columbus include Horizon Media in the US,
Cossette in Canada, Mediaplus in Germany, Armando Testa's Media Italia and
Cospirit in France.
UK-based digital agency Profero is to open its first office in the US.
Wayne Arnold, one of the two brothers who own and co-run the group, will
lead the New York outpost, which launches with two existing clients,
Johnson & Johnson and Western Union. Profero already has an extensive
network in Europe and Asia.
Gary Goldsmith quit his role as creative chief of
Y&R North America, shortly before the arrival of newly appointed
global creative chief Tony Granger, poached from Saatchi. Goldsmith's
local duties at Y&R New York will be taken over by new recruits Scott
Vitrone and Ian Reichenthal. Tom Sebok was named as regional president
& CEO of Y&R North America, filling a role which had been vacant
since early 2007. Meanwhile Euro RSCG appointed Jose Caboco
from W&K as its first regional chief creative officer for North America.
Unilever is in the middle of a global review of creative for its Knorr
culinary brand. Lowe is understood to have secured worldwide creative for
Knorr soups and stocks; incumbent agency JWT and CHI & Partners are
said to be competing for the remaining business, covering sauces and
dressings. Lowe was also named as the winner of Nesfrappé, a new canned
chilled coffee from Nestlé. In other news, PepsiCo shifted US creative
for Gatorade and Tropicana out of Chicago's Element 79 and into
TBWA\Chiat\Day
and Arnell Group respectively. Industry chatter figures Element 79 as a
prime candidate for merger into neighbouring DDB Chicago. New Balance
sports shoes consolidated global media into PHD; Visa retained
Mediaedge:CIA for European media. For all
other appointments, subscribers can access the full Adbrands Account
Assignments database here.
In the news this past
week:
Media
Workers at France's most prestigious daily newspaper Le Monde went on
strike this week to protest against plans to cut 130 jobs, including a
quarter of the editorial staff. It is only the second strike at the paper
since it launched in 1944, but this action has been building for almost a
year. Effectively independent, Le Monde has been reporting increasingly
steep losses for several years, and there has been long-running tension
between the paper's employees, who between them own around 22% of the
company's equity, and corporate minority shareholders such as French publishing
group Lagardere and Prisa of Spain.
As always, if you haven't already done so, please confirm your subscription
to the free Adbrands Weekly Update by
clicking here or on the link at the foot of this email. Thank you for your
assistance!
Simon Tesler Publisher, Adbrands
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